Thursday, June 4, 2020

Why Modi will win 2024 Lok sabha Election Again?

Modi 2.0 Now!

Modi is a true businessman who capitalize very well on the resource and its utilization. Not that he will promote 'Make in India' for that matter ,his main concentration would be to promote his and its party candidature. Now having said that there are so many reasons one can think while keeping aside all the wrong doing or decisions he made. Whether it is a decisions around abrupt lock-down during Covid-19 which led to many painful deaths of Migrants or unsavory package of 20 Lakh crore stimulus package. One thing is for sure, people has short memory no one will remember the propaganda around promoting Hindutva where minority were oppressed left right center neither Delhi riots and protest around CAA,NRC etc. 

Sure is, economy is all time low with misguiding banking and RBI wrong doing. The issue is people of India is not knowledgeable enough to understand GDP , Fiscal deficit, repo rate, CCR etc. The mind of people is so much tangled due to information readily floating in twitter, facebook, whatsapp,youtube with all fake news. These channels are control by big think through IT cell hugely funded.
The crux of the problem is that these main stream media is playing the theme song of ruling party. With all debacle with banking system which once upon a time seems to be the essential backbone of India's economy. Even then there were a times when we would have been able to stock up our Oil capacity but we fail to do so ; we in fact raise the fuel cost for consumer higher than expected. We just have 35 Million barrel as apposed to China who got 550 Million barrel. 

We are still fighting within our sects and competing with our weak neighbors. On one hand we are having created good ecosystem internationally whereas on other hand we are deteriorating our relationship with our neighbours such as Pakistan, Bangladesh, Srilanka and Nepal. Recent Nepal and China border conflicts raised several grave issues. Our diplomatic ties are at stake, The decisions need domain expert consultation that may lead to better relationship building activity. 

With all small, medium and big businesses are failing , only giant corporate like Adani and Mukesh Ambani is knocking a big deal with Facebook and Dubai based telecom.Adani seems to be focusing more on international expansion and investment with one in Australia- Carmichael coal mine. 

Now Nation wants to know like said by Arnab Goswami , Nation wants to know nothing about all these they just want to know Congress, Pakistan, Hindu Muslim and Nehru legacy. People are revolving around on all these petty issues. One side we have Central Vista, Statues and building infrastructure of BJP offices across country to mark the new era of politics corporate house on other side we have Gujarat model of slum hidden with wall for Trump to welcome. 


Modi 3.0 Then

Money Plethora


The majoritarian government know what they can do next to overcome and overshadow their wrong governance or wrong doing. The answer is money, the ruling government is highly funded . They have a capacity to buy any MLA or apposing minister whenever they want. The classic case is Gujarat and Madhya Pradesh. Even BJP is not getting majority next time for that matter they have enough fund to buy ministers. Buying power! If you look closely PM care fund and other stimulus package has not reach the mass during trying time but surely has reached to the treasury. Decentralize public sector like Indian Oil, LIC, Indian airlines and so on. Tank up as much as it can.

Payback Time


Backing and support of big giant corporate like Adani and Ambani when time comes will payback. Right now they are ripping gain but when time comes they will payback in the same manner. Lok sabha elections funding during 2014 was the classic example alongside all the protest by Anna Hazzare. Baba Ramdev across country made big difference. Keeping aside the past, now BJP is far more stronger than ever even when their high rank grade leaders are missing in action.

Melodramatic Indian Nautanki

Main stream media like Republic, Aaj Tak and many leading Hindi and regional news channel sing a song of ruling party. Now the important thing to note here is , small village and remote places are viewing these channel like anything. They serve as a source of information where internet and social media play less role. The IT cell is controlling and managing Urban mass whereas main stream media news channel is feeding the non nutritious unhealthy source of information to rural mass. What is seen and hear is the truth. These has come square and fair for BJP.

Curb and Impose

People, Activists and celebrity who protest and raise questions against ruling party are put in Jail with false charges. Try to create panic and distress to mark the end of such protest country wide. Send a straight message , Supreme court or higher court conduct judiciary verdicts in favour of executive power when constitutional and democratic rights are at stake. Quid pro quo strategies are used to drive the whole mechanism of managing law and order. Book people under wrong charges, policing and threatening people. Violating human rights whether it is small business selling vegetables in name of religion or Gov Rakshak. More Fear and silent citizen is good for healthy long term rule.


Divide and Rule

Constant awareness of religious sentiments with combination of national interest would play a major role in getting back BJP again in power. 

Ram Mandir

When Ram Mandir finally takes it shapes and Lord Rama get his permanent stake at its holy place would bring a sense of jubilation among the Hindu majority.

Enabling CAA, NRC and NPR

Will further strengthen the position of BJP. It provide impetus to analyse the voting category that support the long stand of BJP brigade and Modi's fan. These data would sideline the voters that can foul play the cause of getting them in power again. Indeed data is a king.

Weak Apposition

Modi popularity is so immense there is no prominent apposing face value which can give tough competition to BJP at the moment. There is no game changer. No apposition leader has so much impact as Modi do. He is a gladiator who fought battle at his own . Of course with support of Amit Shah.

External Foreign Affair 

Modi has done so far well with having building good external affair relationship with US, UK, Canada and US. Trump extravagant visit was part of his strategy. He surely did the good job diplomatically with these powerful countries. They can act as a catalyst in improving the image of Modi government with all pros and cons.

Last but not the least

Terrorism and Pakistan-Kashmir -China conflict would play major role in getting BJP back. The way Balakot surgical strike got BJP into majority . The next election would have this component as main stream driver to get BJP back again. Not sure how this will be played again but looks like history repeat itself. Wait and watch. 

Conclusion

If Modi 3.0 is a reality then it is right to conclude the end of rein of Congress party for ever. We are then giving rise to another facet of dynasty politics. This is interesting politics arena or space to watch for.

Indian Politics, Constituency, democracy need a reboot........if this reboot happened with surge of change for good I would like to see the Ideal India, A real India! 

Ideal India would be:-Future looks bright however ?

  • Excel in Space program, Exploration in space, moon mars mission funding
  • Research and development
  • More university , school and college , education for free
  • More libraries and free internet access for all.. Promote reading and innovation. Library at every 5 km range. So that no whatsapp, facebook takes centrestage when we have true information as appose to fake news. 
  • More health care, free health service to all, more hospital 
  • Silicon valley, Made in India, more manufacturing
  • More doctors, Scientist and good labour law. 
  • Encourage labour give them good returns build them. As they build nation.



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